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Toby Connor

Toby Connor

Contributor since: 24 Mar 2010


GoldScents is a financial blog focused on the analysis of the stock market and the secular gold bull market. Subscriptions to the premium service includes a daily and weekend market update emailed to subscribers.

  • Bear Market Bottoms: Smart Money Buying Opportunity

    Published 08 December 2013 | viewed 0 times

    In this business there is no greater buying opportunity than at a bear market bottom. For those few investors able to control emotions, delay gratification,…

  • The Next Black Swan: A Dollar Crisis

    Published 03 December 2013 | viewed 0 times

    Analysts everywhere appear to be wondering what could possibly be the catalyst to turn the gold market around. I maintain it's the same catalyst that…

  • Gold: Brief Pause, or Final Bottom?

    Published 26 November 2013 | viewed 0 times

    Something may have changed yesterday in the gold market. For one I think gold probably formed a minor daily cycle bottom. But what I'm really…

  • Gold: Will It Drop to $1,000 or Was the Bottom Formed this Summer?

    Published 14 November 2013 | viewed 0 times

    The blogosphere seems to have gotten the idea that I am predicting $1000 as a sure thing. Nothing could be further from the truth. I've…

  • Gold at a Crossroads

    Published 05 November 2013 | viewed 0 times

    At the moment gold is at a critical crossroads. If it can move above $1375 it will confirm that an intermediate degree bottom occurred last…

  • Weekend Report: Dollar Surge

    Published 02 November 2013 | viewed 0 times

    A rather interesting development occurred on Friday, and one that I wasn't really expecting. The dollar sliced right through its intermediate trend line on its…

  • Time to Sit on the Sidelines

    Published 25 October 2013 | viewed 0 times

    My best guess continues to be that stocks will extend this consolidation on Friday and then deliver one more push higher into the FOMC meeting…

  • Is the Next Bear Market About to Begin?

    Published 07 October 2013 | viewed 0 times

    The stock market is finally beginning to show signs that the bull market may be coming to an end. Before I go into the stock…

  • Damaged Weekly Charts

    Published 14 September 2013 | viewed 0 times

    As I mentioned in my last post there is a disturbing possibility that gold's intermediate cycle has topped, and done so in a left translated…

  • And It Begins

    Published 12 September 2013 | viewed 0 times

    As I was afraid would happen, gold suffered an overnight hit that drove it back below the $1350 support zone. The drop occurred in the…

  • Is The Manipulation in The Metals About to Begin Again?

    Published 08 September 2013 | viewed 0 times

    The answer to the question above unfortunately is maybe. There are definitely warning signs springing up. The first sign of trouble popped up last week…

  • Time for a Brief Pause?

    Published 31 August 2013 | viewed 0 times

    Now that gold has broken its daily cycle trend line I think we can assume that the daily cycle decline has probably begun. My best…

  • Gold: The Hidden Agenda Behind The Bear Raid

    Published 13 August 2013 | viewed 0 times

    First off let's go over the key cyclical points from today's action. Today gold broke above the cycle downtrend line, thus confirming August 7 as…

  • The Next Crisis Has Begun: And This One Is Going To Be In The Currency Markets

    Published 07 August 2013 | viewed 0 times

    Today the dollar broke through 80.40. This is a major development as it signals that the current daily cycle topped in only 2 days, thus…

  • Is the Inflationary Phase Finally Here?

    Published 14 July 2013 | viewed 0 times

    Last year I correctly spotted the three year cycle low in the CRB. I must admit the retest of that bottom has taken much longer…

  • Is The Bubble Phase About To Begin?

    Published 01 July 2013 | viewed 0 times

    I think the manipulation after QE4 has accelerated the bull market. We now have the necessary conditions for the bubble phase in gold to begin.…

  • Stocks in Dangerous Territory

    Published 13 June 2013 | viewed 0 times

    As I alluded to in my previous report both stocks and gold are due to mean revert. Short-term the stock market is getting significantly oversold…

  • Why Stocks and Gold are About to Reverse Course

    Published 02 June 2013 | viewed 0 times

    There's a reason why commercial traders are regression to the mean traders. In this business it is the one thing that you can absolutely bank…

  • Stock Bubble: Wait for it to Pop

    Published 27 May 2013 | viewed 0 times

    I'm going to start off today and show you what Fed policy has given us over the last decade and a half. What the Fed…

  • Euphoria Phase Turns into the Parabolic Phase

    Published 09 May 2013 | viewed 0 times

    The euphoria phase of the bull market that I warned about months ago is now beginning its final parabolic phase. I'm guessing we still have…