Richard Shaw

Contributor since: 26 Feb 2010

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• Markets Memo

  Published 01 November 2010 | viewed 0 times

  Expect above average volatility over the next few weeks: The recent strong US stock market was in part due to anticipation of business favorable political…

• Equity Income Alternatives To Bonds

  Published 18 October 2010 | viewed 0 times

  Sooner or later, except for a Japanese-style deflation, interest rates will rise from their current historic low levels. That will cause bond prices to fall.…

• World Markets Roundup

  Published 27 September 2010 | viewed 0 times

  Bonds have been the best total return performers since the April 2010 S&P 500 high. They are also the best performers since the October 2007…

• Long-Term Allocation Model Results

  Published 20 September 2010 | viewed 0 times

  Over 35 years stocks have given a very bumpy ride, while bonds have given a fairly smooth ride. The annualized total return difference between stocks…

• Heat Maps

  Published 15 September 2010 | viewed 0 times

  The attached document presents the latest "Heat Maps" for several price behavior indicators for a variety of asset categories. We find these helpful in scanning…

• More Negative Signals From SandP 500 Price Behavior: Cash is not Trash

  Published 25 August 2010 | viewed 0 times

  The frequency of multi-day back-to-back down days so far in 2010 is a further indication of weakness and negative trend for the S&P 500. The…

• Markets RoundUp

  Published 26 July 2010 | viewed 0 times

  Stocks are attempting a rally, but have generally not accomplished enough yet - with some Asian exceptions. US and Dollar denominated emerging market sovereign bonds…

• Pictorial Roundup of World Stocks and Bonds

  Published 12 July 2010 | viewed 0 times

  Rather than attempting to enumerate the dozens or hundreds of macro-economic and fundamental issues, trends and opinions that will/should drive the markets, this report relies…

• SP 500 Approaches Bear Territory -- Near-Term Price Target 900

  Published 06 July 2010 | viewed 0 times

  July 5, 2010 The S&P 500 is just about in official bear market territory (conventionally defined as down 20%). While the index closed on the…

• US Bond Market Situation

  Published 21 June 2010 | viewed 0 times

  Bonds have had a great run, but are now facing the prospect of strong headwinds with expected rising interest rates, and growing risk appetite for…

• Charts Window on Key Asset Categories

  Published 27 May 2010 | viewed 0 times

  US government and credit bonds are in a continuing uptrend over three years, whether short, intermediate or long maturity. Since April, when stocks began having…

• Equity Market Re-Entry Prices

  Published 10 May 2010 | viewed 0 times

  If you are out of the equity markets as a result of stops last week. The question of re-entry conditions arises. The US futures are…

• Stop Loss Order Setting Indicators

  Published 04 May 2010 | viewed 0 times

  Today is the kind of market day where our stop loss mantra comes into better focus. Remember that at some level, tight or wide, you…

• Charts Window on Key Bond Categories

  Published 01 April 2010 | viewed 0 times

  Treasury yields are lower than pre-crash levels and will eventually normalize, putting downward pressure on government bonds. Corporate bond yields are comparable to pre-2008 levels…

• Chart Views - 3 Key Stock and 3 Key Bond Categories

  Published 26 March 2010 | viewed 1,084 times

  While there is much on the fundamental front to watch and discuss, these chart observations for six key asset categories are a good proxy for…

• A Look At The SP 500 After A Tough Week

  Published 08 February 2010 | viewed 1,512 times

  The S&P 500 has grown over the 60+ years since 1947 at a rate of 6.8% through the March low of 2009, the same rate…

• To Bond or Not To Bond? - That Is The Question

  Published 01 February 2010 | viewed 942 times

  There are basically three ways to position your investment assets. You can loan the money, use it to own something or hold it in reserve.…

• Long-Term US Stock-Bond Allocation Results

  Published 14 December 2009 | viewed 2,691 times

  As you think about your asset allocation and return expectations, you should take multiple historical periods into consideration, as well as current and forward conditions.…

• Interest Rates: What They Say Now

  Published 08 December 2009 | viewed 1,265 times

  Interest rates are at historical lows in the US and in many other countries. As the world's economies begin to come out recession, those rates…

• Interest Rates and Bonds Today

  Published 08 November 2009 | viewed 1,411 times

  Historic levels of central bank induced liquidity around the world, and exceptionally low short-term U.S. interest rates have driven risky asset price appreciation across asset…