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Richard Shaw

Richard Shaw

Contributor since: 26 Feb 2010

  • Markets Memo

    Published 01 November 2010 | viewed 0 times

    Expect above average volatility over the next few weeks: The recent strong US stock market was in part due to anticipation of business favorable political…

  • Equity Income Alternatives To Bonds

    Published 18 October 2010 | viewed 0 times

    Sooner or later, except for a Japanese-style deflation, interest rates will rise from their current historic low levels. That will cause bond prices to fall.…

  • World Markets Roundup

    Published 27 September 2010 | viewed 0 times

    Bonds have been the best total return performers since the April 2010 S&P 500 high. They are also the best performers since the October 2007…

  • Long-Term Allocation Model Results

    Published 20 September 2010 | viewed 0 times

    Over 35 years stocks have given a very bumpy ride, while bonds have given a fairly smooth ride. The annualized total return difference between stocks…

  • Heat Maps

    Published 15 September 2010 | viewed 0 times

    The attached document presents the latest "Heat Maps" for several price behavior indicators for a variety of asset categories. We find these helpful in scanning…

  • More Negative Signals From SandP 500 Price Behavior: Cash is not Trash

    Published 25 August 2010 | viewed 0 times

    The frequency of multi-day back-to-back down days so far in 2010 is a further indication of weakness and negative trend for the S&P 500. The…

  • Markets RoundUp

    Published 26 July 2010 | viewed 0 times

    Stocks are attempting a rally, but have generally not accomplished enough yet - with some Asian exceptions. US and Dollar denominated emerging market sovereign bonds…

  • Pictorial Roundup of World Stocks and Bonds

    Published 12 July 2010 | viewed 0 times

    Rather than attempting to enumerate the dozens or hundreds of macro-economic and fundamental issues, trends and opinions that will/should drive the markets, this report relies…

  • SP 500 Approaches Bear Territory -- Near-Term Price Target 900

    Published 06 July 2010 | viewed 0 times

    July 5, 2010 The S&P 500 is just about in official bear market territory (conventionally defined as down 20%). While the index closed on the…

  • US Bond Market Situation

    Published 21 June 2010 | viewed 0 times

    Bonds have had a great run, but are now facing the prospect of strong headwinds with expected rising interest rates, and growing risk appetite for…

  • Charts Window on Key Asset Categories

    Published 27 May 2010 | viewed 0 times

    US government and credit bonds are in a continuing uptrend over three years, whether short, intermediate or long maturity. Since April, when stocks began having…

  • Equity Market Re-Entry Prices

    Published 10 May 2010 | viewed 0 times

    If you are out of the equity markets as a result of stops last week. The question of re-entry conditions arises. The US futures are…

  • Stop Loss Order Setting Indicators

    Published 04 May 2010 | viewed 0 times

    Today is the kind of market day where our stop loss mantra comes into better focus. Remember that at some level, tight or wide, you…

  • Charts Window on Key Bond Categories

    Published 01 April 2010 | viewed 0 times

    Treasury yields are lower than pre-crash levels and will eventually normalize, putting downward pressure on government bonds. Corporate bond yields are comparable to pre-2008 levels…

  • Chart Views - 3 Key Stock and 3 Key Bond Categories

    Published 26 March 2010 | viewed 946 times

    While there is much on the fundamental front to watch and discuss, these chart observations for six key asset categories are a good proxy for…

  • A Look At The SP 500 After A Tough Week

    Published 08 February 2010 | viewed 1,277 times

    The S&P 500 has grown over the 60+ years since 1947 at a rate of 6.8% through the March low of 2009, the same rate…

  • To Bond or Not To Bond? - That Is The Question

    Published 01 February 2010 | viewed 821 times

    There are basically three ways to position your investment assets. You can loan the money, use it to own something or hold it in reserve.…

  • Long-Term US Stock-Bond Allocation Results

    Published 14 December 2009 | viewed 2,485 times

    As you think about your asset allocation and return expectations, you should take multiple historical periods into consideration, as well as current and forward conditions.…

  • Interest Rates: What They Say Now

    Published 08 December 2009 | viewed 1,090 times

    Interest rates are at historical lows in the US and in many other countries. As the world's economies begin to come out recession, those rates…

  • Interest Rates and Bonds Today

    Published 08 November 2009 | viewed 1,173 times

    Historic levels of central bank induced liquidity around the world, and exceptionally low short-term U.S. interest rates have driven risky asset price appreciation across asset…