Ed Carlson

Contributor since: 04 May 2012

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• Could Equities Sell Offs Find A Bottom This Week?

  Published 22 August 2017 | viewed 0 times

  Cycles warn that the sell-off in equities during the last two weeks should find a bottom this week – temporarily. The Bradley model does not…

• Market Update - Intermission

  Published 15 August 2017 | viewed 0 times

  Last week’s Market Update – Showtime! – announced that the time had come for a sell-off in equities and we were not disappointed as the…

• Market Update - 08/07/2017

  Published 07 August 2017 | viewed 0 times

  It’s Showtime! The July 10, Market Update laid out our case for a tradable high in equities to commence sometime by August. We now have…

• 37-Week Cycle - S&P 500 Index

  Published 24 July 2017 | viewed 0 times

  While the Advance/Decline line (among other indicators) keeps us bullish in the long-term, short-term, the environment is not so sanguine for equities. Both the Hybrid…

• Despite Resistance, The Long-Term Gold Trend Is Bullish

  Published 22 May 2017 | viewed 0 times

  Gold rallied $26.50/oz. last week closing at 1,252.70 and above the 200-dma. Gold is finding resistance from the December trendline and the detrended oscillator is…

• May 8-11… High or Low?

  Published 08 May 2017 | viewed 0 times

  May 8-11… High or Low? In the 4/17/17 Market Update I wrote of a low-low-high interval pointing to a high on 5/11/17. The lows of…

• Euro-phoria

  Published 01 May 2017 | viewed 0 times

  A critical factor in risk-asset pricing is inflation expectations and inflation expectations are directly affected by the price of commodities. Looking at the futures markets,…

• Treasury Yields

  Published 24 April 2017 | viewed 0 times

  TNX - the yield on the 10yr US Treasury note -  gained 0.22% last week closing at 22.37 but 14-day RSI remains below its own…

• Lindsay: Long Term Intervals

  Published 17 April 2017 | viewed 0 times

  The March 20 Market Update showed our Long Term interval forecast - both 15 and 12 year intervals. As we are now seeing the biggest…

• Elliott Wave Target: 2,700 SPX

  Published 13 March 2017 | viewed 0 times

  Looking at the bull market advance since 2009, we can see at least two options for counting. The options are that wave 3 ended in…

• Basic Movements/Basic High

  Published 06 March 2017 | viewed 0 times

  With the failure to see the expected correction in our longer term forecast, this is probably a good time to review that forecast. A 15yr…

• Something's Gotta' Give

  Published 27 February 2017 | viewed 0 times

  The next confluence of Fibonacci retracements is at 2,382 and is our price target for SPX but last Friday was a 21-day cycle high so…

• Lindsay's 107-day Interval

  Published 20 February 2017 | viewed 0 times

  George Lindsay wrote of a 107-day interval which he used as a confirming tool for finding highs in the Dow. Like all of Lindsay's models,…

• Lindsay 12-year Low

  Published 12 February 2017 | viewed 0 times

  As often noted, the first step in a Lindsay forecast is determining the long-term intervals; 15yr (15yr-15yr, 11mo) for highs and 12yr (12yr, 2mo-12yr, 8mo)…

• Nowhere to Go

  Published 06 February 2017 | viewed 0 times

  Continue to look for an important top in the Dow near February 10.  As the Dow returned to near our price target (20,133) last Friday,…

• A Long, Cold Winter

  Published 31 January 2017 | viewed 0 times

  It appears that equity indices have printed their highs for the post-election rally. However, that doesn't necessarily mean that the correction must begin immediately. Cycles…

• Three Peaks and a Domed House Revisited

  Published 24 January 2017 | viewed 0 times

  The 3PDh pattern of 2014-2016 appears to have failed. After a textbook, five-wave pullback (first floor roof/points 15-20) in April-June 2016, the Dow shot up…

• Cycles Call for a High this Week

  Published 15 January 2017 | viewed 0 times

  A Middle Section forecast from the Basic Cycle (chart) points to a high on Monday and Lindsay’s 222-day interval points to a change in trend…

• Eight Ball Market

  Published 20 December 2016 | viewed 0 times

  Cycles are shaping up for an important high just before (or just after) Christmas (It is decidedly so). In addition, the Bradley model shows a…

• It's Different This Time

  Published 06 December 2016 | viewed 0 times

  The normal bullishness of this time of year was turned on its head last year and we're beginning to wonder if it may happen again…