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Guy Lerner

Guy Lerner

Technical Take

Contributor since: 26 Feb 2010

Biography

Guy M. Lerner is the editor and founder of The Technical Take blog.

  • This Time is Different ....This is Not What You Think

    Published 02 May 2012 | viewed 0 times

    The very erudite Dr. John Hussman is as good as a market researcher as there is, and he defines a set of market conditions that…

  • Weekly Leading Index

    Published 30 April 2012 | viewed 0 times

    The Weekly Leading Index (WLI) of the Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI) has turned down for the second consecutive week. See figure 1 a weekly…

  • Investor Sentiment: It's All Good, But...

    Published 29 April 2012 | viewed 0 times

    The price action this past week was fabulous as the market found its winning ways on the back of AAPL earnings and a Federal Reserve…

  • GLD: Remain Positive and Patient

    Published 26 April 2012 | viewed 0 times

    Despite the highs in gold being well over 6 months ago, I have remained constructive (see here and here) viewing the extended pull back as…

  • The Intersection of Bonds and Equities

    Published 23 April 2012 | viewed 0 times

    Figure 1 shows a weekly chart of the SP500. In the lower panel is an analogue chart of our bond trading model. This bond model…

  • Investor Sentiment: Bulls Lose Enthusiasm

    Published 22 April 2012 | viewed 0 times

    The "dumb money" indicator has become more neutral suggesting that the bulls have lost enthusiasm for this bull market. As can be seen in figure…

  • Dr. Copper

    Published 16 April 2012 | viewed 0 times

    It is often stated that copper is the metal with a Ph.D. in economics, and the data for the most part bears this out. Figure…

  • Investor Sentiment: A Sell Signal is Upon Us

    Published 15 April 2012 | viewed 0 times

    For weeks now, I have been using phrases in these weekly articles on sentiment like "the best, most accelerated gains are behind us" and "we…

  • Investor Sentiment: April Fools

    Published 01 April 2012 | viewed 0 times

    April Fools! That is what it feels like when investing in this market. If you put money to work now and the market tanks, you…

  • Crude Oil: Update

    Published 30 March 2012 | viewed 0 times

    We last looked at crude oil on February 25, 2012, when it was breaking out from an 8 month base or head and shoulders bottoming…

  • Investor Sentiment: Mission Accomplished?

    Published 25 March 2012 | viewed 0 times

    Central bankers have done their part flooding the world with liquidity, and investors have caught on as well by taking asset prices higher. Central bankers…

  • Investor Sentiment: Signposts to Navigate This Rally

    Published 18 March 2012 | viewed 0 times

    For several weeks now, the "dumb money" has been extremely bullish and the "smart money" has been extremely bearish. These are signs that we are…

  • Composite Sentiment Indicator: Update

    Published 12 March 2012 | viewed 0 times

    Figure 1 shows a weekly chart of the SP500 with the composite sentiment indicator. This indicator is constructed from 10 different variables that assess investor…

  • Investor Sentiment: Does Bernanke Have Your Back?

    Published 11 March 2012 | viewed 0 times

    The "dumb money" remains extremely bullish and the "smart money" is bearish. It has been that way now for 3 weeks and as expected, gains…

  • Gold Facing Brisk Headwinds

    Published 08 March 2012 | viewed 0 times

    Yes, you read that right: "Gold Facing Brisk Headwinds". After spending 51 weeks on a buy signal, our gold model has issued a sell signal.…

  • Investor Sentiment: Get a Parachute?

    Published 04 March 2012 | viewed 0 times

    Like last week, the "dumb money" remains extremely bullish and the "smart money" is bearish. What is also certain is that the bulls remain in…

  • I Am Not Sure Why This Time Should be Different

    Published 29 February 2012 | viewed 0 times

    I am not sure why this time should be different. Seriously. Yes, I have read all of the internet want to be commentators that claim…

  • Investor Sentiment: What is Your Plan?

    Published 25 February 2012 | viewed 0 times

    As we end another week of nuttiness, the only thing you need to know about investor sentiment is that the "dumb money" is buying and…

  • SLV: Running into Resistance

    Published 23 February 2012 | viewed 0 times

    We last highlighted the i-Shares Silver Trust (symbol: SLV) back on January 13, 2012 and then again on January 23, 2012. We initially identified the…

  • Investor Sentiment: Tough Call

    Published 18 February 2012 | viewed 0 times

    With the exception of the NASDAQ 100 and NASDAQ Composite, the major market indices are approaching the May, 2011 highs. This would be a good…