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Guy Lerner

Guy Lerner

Technical Take

Contributor since: 26 Feb 2010

Biography

Guy M. Lerner is the editor and founder of The Technical Take blog.

  • Investor Sentiment: Looking Ahead

    Published 27 November 2011 | viewed 0 times

    The best way to get more investors to turn more bearish in their outlook is to have lower prices. The sentiment indicators are nowhere near…

  • Bond Technicals

    Published 25 November 2011 | viewed 0 times

    Since March, 2011, most market participants have been wrong about the direction of Treasury bonds. Warren Buffet and PIMCO's Bill Gross were the most notable…

  • What Was Your Expectation for this Thanksgiving Week?

    Published 23 November 2011 | viewed 0 times

    My expectation was that the market would go higher and bounce back from the previous week's onslaught, and I am sure that was yours as…

  • Real Time Recession Indicator

    Published 21 November 2011 | viewed 0 times

    The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) improved month over month. However, the index still remains negative. More importantly, my real time recession indicator, which…

  • Dollar Index: A Series of Higher Highs and Higher Lows

    Published 16 November 2011 | viewed 0 times

    There is no question that the Dollar Index is in an uptrend, and as stated in this article, this has not been good for equities…

  • My Deepest Thoughts on Investor Sentiment

    Published 14 November 2011 | viewed 0 times

    Reader Erik asks a good question regarding investor sentiment. In particular, he wanted to know how bullish investors became during bear market rallies during 2008…

  • Investor Sentiment: Another Case of Selling Low and Buying High?

    Published 12 November 2011 | viewed 0 times

    In aggregate, investor sentiment is neutral. The "dumb money" and Rydex market timer continue to get more bullish after missing out on the bulk of…

  • SP500 Model to Yield Sell Signal (Likely)

    Published 11 November 2011 | viewed 0 times

    A trend following strategy for the SP500 that utilizes the 40 week moving average and a filter constructed from the trends in gold, CRB Index,…

  • Bye, Bye Japan (EWJ)

    Published 09 November 2011 | viewed 0 times

    Figure 1 is a weekly chart of the i-Shares MSCI Japan Index Fund (symbol: EWJ). The red and black dots are key pivot points, which…

  • Going Old School

    Published 09 November 2011 | viewed 0 times

    I know this stuff doesn't mean anything until it does, but did anybody happen to notice that the market's climb over the past 5 days…

  • Investor Sentiment: Moving Towards Too Much Bullishness

    Published 06 November 2011 | viewed 0 times

    One thing this market doesn't need is too much bullishness. The lack of bears means that there is little short covering fuel to power a…

  • Is it Deja Vu All Over Again?

    Published 04 November 2011 | viewed 0 times

    Back in November, 2010, I wrote that the current tussle in the market "was an epic battle. Force against force. Titan v. titan." Back in…

  • Crosscurrents Aplenty

    Published 02 November 2011 | viewed 0 times

    There is a lot of noise out there and the wide swings in the market are reflective of that fact. There is a lot of…

  • Dollar Index: Technicals and Trading Model Remain Bullish

    Published 01 November 2011 | viewed 0 times

    About 1 month ago, I presented my Dollar trading model. This is a simple strategy, utilizing monthly charts of the Dollar Index. The entry signal…

  • A SP500 Model Yields Buy Signal

    Published 31 October 2011 | viewed 0 times

    A trend following strategy for the SP500 that utilizes the 40 week moving average and a filter constructed from the trends in gold, CRB Index,…

  • Investor Sentiment: The Best Gains are Behind Us

    Published 30 October 2011 | viewed 0 times

    I am not going to say I told you so because honestly, I had no knowledge of the current outcome. All I know is that…

  • But This One Did!

    Published 28 October 2011 | viewed 0 times

    This one is for all the assholes out there who only expect winning trades. Last Thursday, I highlighted the gold mining sector and stated that…

  • Ehh, This Did Not Turnout Well

    Published 28 October 2011 | viewed 0 times

    My great set up in bonds didn't turnout all that well. See figure 1, a daily chart of the i-Shares Lehman 2o plus Year Treasury…

  • No Apologies for This!

    Published 28 October 2011 | viewed 0 times

    On August 9th, I made the call: "this is a bear market". Obviously, with the NASDAQ 100 nearing cyclical highs, the notion of a bear…

  • TLT: Another Great Set-up

    Published 25 October 2011 | viewed 0 times

    The last time I identified a "great set up" it was in the Market Vectors Gold Miners (symbol: GDX). This was only a couple of…