Guy Lerner

Technical Take

Contributor since: 26 Feb 2010

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Biography

• The Next And Newest Risk - Global Growth

  Published 04 August 2008 | viewed 3,281 times

  Before getting to the main thrust of my article let me state several facts regarding my current trading positions in the market. First, equities remain…

• Big Brown, Smarty Jones, and Betting With The Crowd

  Published 09 June 2008 | viewed 2,838 times

  Big Brown's failed bid to capture horse racing's Triple Crown reminds us that "there is no sure thing" whether it be in life or in…

• Inflationary Pressures (Again!)

  Published 23 May 2008 | viewed 2,812 times

  My inflation indicator is shown in figure 1 below a weekly chart of the S&P500. I have shown this indicator in past commentaries. The indicator…

• Is Crude Oil In A Speculative Bubble?

  Published 16 May 2008 | viewed 3,340 times

  I was being interviewed for a web based business program, and I was asked the following question: Is crude oil in a speculative bubble? My…

• One Of These Bounces Will Work

  Published 29 April 2008 | viewed 3,605 times

  Call this commentary a pundit's guide of when to "buy the dip". And all you need to do this analysis is a price chart and…

• Around The Markets: A Chart Review (Part 2)

  Published 16 April 2008 | viewed 3,092 times

  Gold Figure 1 is a monthly chart of gold. Gold remains somewhat extended above its 10 month moving average, which will likely catch up to…

• Around The Markets: A Chart Review (Part 1)

  Published 14 April 2008 | viewed 2,460 times

  The markets are always at an interesting and "critical" juncture. Nonetheless, a look at some longer term charts across various markets and sectors should give…

• Dichotomy In Transports

  Published 09 April 2008 | viewed 2,904 times

  There is a dichotomy going on in the transportation sector. The railroad industry, by and large, remains in a bull market, and one could postulate…

• Around The Markets: A Chart View

  Published 26 March 2008 | viewed 3,053 times

  Copper See figure 1, a monthly chart. I still think this is the most important chart of all the charts to follow. The breakout is…

• Those Four Letter Words

  Published 23 March 2008 | viewed 4,190 times

  It was a very draining and emotional week. If you invest in stock indices, you were reminded prudence doesn't pay. In an increasing risky environment,…

• Price Failure (Part II)

  Published 13 March 2008 | viewed 3,423 times

  In a commentary sent last week to paying subscribers, I wrote about price failures in the equities markets and in the Dollar Index. When we…

• Price Failure

  Published 09 March 2008 | viewed 4,710 times

  The logic goes something like this: everyone is bearish and there is money on the sidelines to provide fuel for any rally. Therefore, it is…

• A Look At The Rydex Asset Data

  Published 03 March 2008 | viewed 3,615 times

  The Rydex family of mutual funds is a group of mutual funds that is favored by market timers. Rydex has funds that bet with and…

• Conflicting Signals

  Published 25 February 2008 | viewed 4,990 times

  To assess inflation, I don't rely upon flawed government numbers, like CPI. I create my own indicator from the price trends in crude oil, gold,…

• Let's Talk Extreme!!

  Published 21 February 2008 | viewed 5,510 times

  It is a market of extremes, and this usually means emotions are extreme as well. So be careful what you read and believe as not…

• A Confluence Of Bullish Indicators

  Published 18 February 2008 | viewed 4,363 times

  The "dumb money" is bearish and the "smart money" is bullish, and over the past 17 years, this confluence of indicators has generally marked an…

• Will This Time Be Different?

  Published 04 June 2007 | viewed 5,673 times

  Technical signposts at market tops include: 1) negative divergences between price and various momentum oscillators that measure price; 2) deteriorating market internals; 3) excessive bullish…

• Sentiment Turning Bearish

  Published 18 March 2007 | viewed 5,297 times

  Investor sentiment has turned bearish as investors are moving money to the sidelines. Investor Sentiment Composite Indicator Figure 1 is a weekly chart of the…

• Rydex Asset Data: A Market Under Distribution

  Published 10 January 2007 | viewed 6,892 times

  The Rydex asset data continue to indicate that a market top is occurring as equities remain under distribution. However, extremes in the data lead one…

• TheTechnicalTake: 2007 Prognostications (Part 1)

  Published 27 December 2006 | viewed 6,304 times

  While I don't base my investment or trading strategy on the ability to use a crystal ball, I thought it would be fun to look…