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Guy Lerner

Guy Lerner

Technical Take

Contributor since: 26 Feb 2010


Guy M. Lerner is the editor and founder of The Technical Take blog.

  • The Next And Newest Risk - Global Growth

    Published 04 August 2008 | viewed 2,854 times

    Before getting to the main thrust of my article let me state several facts regarding my current trading positions in the market. First, equities remain…

  • Big Brown, Smarty Jones, and Betting With The Crowd

    Published 09 June 2008 | viewed 2,215 times

    Big Brown's failed bid to capture horse racing's Triple Crown reminds us that "there is no sure thing" whether it be in life or in…

  • Inflationary Pressures (Again!)

    Published 23 May 2008 | viewed 1,966 times

    My inflation indicator is shown in figure 1 below a weekly chart of the S&P500. I have shown this indicator in past commentaries. The indicator…

  • Is Crude Oil In A Speculative Bubble?

    Published 16 May 2008 | viewed 2,591 times

    I was being interviewed for a web based business program, and I was asked the following question: Is crude oil in a speculative bubble? My…

  • One Of These Bounces Will Work

    Published 29 April 2008 | viewed 2,976 times

    Call this commentary a pundit's guide of when to "buy the dip". And all you need to do this analysis is a price chart and…

  • Around The Markets: A Chart Review (Part 2)

    Published 16 April 2008 | viewed 2,331 times

    Gold Figure 1 is a monthly chart of gold. Gold remains somewhat extended above its 10 month moving average, which will likely catch up to…

  • Around The Markets: A Chart Review (Part 1)

    Published 14 April 2008 | viewed 1,862 times

    The markets are always at an interesting and "critical" juncture. Nonetheless, a look at some longer term charts across various markets and sectors should give…

  • Dichotomy In Transports

    Published 09 April 2008 | viewed 2,306 times

    There is a dichotomy going on in the transportation sector. The railroad industry, by and large, remains in a bull market, and one could postulate…

  • Around The Markets: A Chart View

    Published 26 March 2008 | viewed 2,444 times

    Copper See figure 1, a monthly chart. I still think this is the most important chart of all the charts to follow. The breakout is…

  • Those Four Letter Words

    Published 23 March 2008 | viewed 3,459 times

    It was a very draining and emotional week. If you invest in stock indices, you were reminded prudence doesn't pay. In an increasing risky environment,…

  • Price Failure (Part II)

    Published 13 March 2008 | viewed 2,796 times

    In a commentary sent last week to paying subscribers, I wrote about price failures in the equities markets and in the Dollar Index. When we…

  • Price Failure

    Published 09 March 2008 | viewed 3,994 times

    The logic goes something like this: everyone is bearish and there is money on the sidelines to provide fuel for any rally. Therefore, it is…

  • A Look At The Rydex Asset Data

    Published 03 March 2008 | viewed 2,793 times

    The Rydex family of mutual funds is a group of mutual funds that is favored by market timers. Rydex has funds that bet with and…

  • Conflicting Signals

    Published 25 February 2008 | viewed 4,199 times

    To assess inflation, I don't rely upon flawed government numbers, like CPI. I create my own indicator from the price trends in crude oil, gold,…

  • Let's Talk Extreme!!

    Published 21 February 2008 | viewed 4,757 times

    It is a market of extremes, and this usually means emotions are extreme as well. So be careful what you read and believe as not…

  • A Confluence Of Bullish Indicators

    Published 18 February 2008 | viewed 3,757 times

    The "dumb money" is bearish and the "smart money" is bullish, and over the past 17 years, this confluence of indicators has generally marked an…

  • Will This Time Be Different?

    Published 04 June 2007 | viewed 5,049 times

    Technical signposts at market tops include: 1) negative divergences between price and various momentum oscillators that measure price; 2) deteriorating market internals; 3) excessive bullish…

  • Sentiment Turning Bearish

    Published 18 March 2007 | viewed 4,691 times

    Investor sentiment has turned bearish as investors are moving money to the sidelines. Investor Sentiment Composite Indicator Figure 1 is a weekly chart of the…

  • Rydex Asset Data: A Market Under Distribution

    Published 10 January 2007 | viewed 6,119 times

    The Rydex asset data continue to indicate that a market top is occurring as equities remain under distribution. However, extremes in the data lead one…

  • TheTechnicalTake: 2007 Prognostications (Part 1)

    Published 27 December 2006 | viewed 5,693 times

    While I don't base my investment or trading strategy on the ability to use a crystal ball, I thought it would be fun to look…