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Tony Pallotta

Tony Pallotta

Contributor since: 07 Mar 2011

Biography

A Boston native, I now live in Denver, Colorado with my wife and two little girls. I trade for a living and primarily focus on options. I love selling theta and vega and taking the other side of a trade. I have a solid technical analysis background but much prefer the macro trade. Being able to combine both skills and an understanding of my "emotional capital" has helped me in my career.

  • US Dollar Technical Update

    Published 04 December 2011 | viewed 0 times

    In the coming weeks you will hear me discuss the current trade as a "credit event that equity will be forced to acknowledge." It is…

  • The Beauty Of Symmetry

    Published 20 November 2011 | viewed 0 times

    There are no other words to describe the symmetry between these two chart patterns than simply beautiful. I purposely left the scale and dates off…

  • Economic Optimism Warranted Or Not

    Published 19 November 2011 | viewed 0 times

    "Things are not always what they seem; the first appearance deceives many; the intelligence of a few perceives what has been carefully hidden" - Author…

  • The End Of The Inventory Build Cycle

    Published 11 November 2011 | viewed 0 times

    "If you build it, he will come" ~ Field Of Dreams Demand begets supply. Supply then fuels demand. Probably the most simplistic way to look…

  • Something Is About To Break

    Published 06 November 2011 | viewed 0 times

    When Dexia was nationalized I said the clock was now ticking. Counterparty risk was the new threat to the global economy. When confidence is gone…

  • Why Is The USD So Weak?

    Published 04 November 2011 | viewed 0 times

    With multiple reports of USD shortages including the need for an emergency Fed swap line in September why is it not showing in the DXY?…

  • How Are Large Speculators Positioned

    Published 30 October 2011 | viewed 0 times

    As previously stated the Commitment Of Trader's Report is a wealth of information as it discloses long and short positions across the entire futures and…

  • Heads I Win Tails You Lose

    Published 22 October 2011 | viewed 0 times

    The "Too Big To Fails" have reported Q3 2011 EPS and in a word, horrible. On the surface earnings looked like another beat on both…

  • Another Similar 2008 Chart Pattern

    Published 12 October 2011 | viewed 0 times

    This post was written on October 12, charts are not updated for today's price action.   "He observed that human emotions collectively had major impacts…

  • Breaking Down The Bullish Argument

    Published 08 October 2011 | viewed 0 times

    Equity bulls have found solace in the abnormally high bearish sentiment readings. Seems everyone wants to be considered a contrarian. Rather than follow the herd…

  • Volatility Continues To Signal Equity Selloff

    Published 05 October 2011 | viewed 0 times

    Looking purely at the Vix one could say it is moving down as fear comes out of the market. Equities are moving higher, Vix moving…

  • The Economic Recession As Forecasted By The Consumer

    Published 02 October 2011 | viewed 0 times

    "A vocabulary of truth and simplicity will be of service throughout your life." ~ Winston Churchill I prefer to keep things as simple as possible.…

  • Credit Market Updates And The Growing Equity Divergence

    Published 28 September 2011 | viewed 0 times

    Once again credit refuses to follow along with the strategy of hope that equities are using. They refuse to accept proposed and rumored bailouts of…

  • Changing Risk Perception Across Multiple Asset Classes

    Published 24 September 2011 | viewed 0 times

    This week saw a lot of technical damage across multiple asset classes as demonstrated by the charts below. The biggest shift though appears to be…

  • Credit Versus Equity The War Is Waged

    Published 11 September 2011 | viewed 0 times

    Bull versus bear. Greed versus fear. Smart money versus dumb money. Depression versus transitory soft patch. Credit versus equity. In one corner is the credit…

  • Calling Bernanke's Bluff

    Published 30 August 2011 | viewed 0 times

    The repurchase agreement or "repo" market is where primary dealers finance their inventory of US Treasuries, where companies find short term financing and where money…

  • Field Of Economic Dreams

    Published 28 August 2011 | viewed 0 times

    "If you build it he will come." - Field Of Dreams "We built it and he did not show." - US economic reality The consumer…

  • Credit Markets Signal Growing Economic Weakness

    Published 24 August 2011 | viewed 0 times

    If you trade beyond a one minute chart then following the credit markets will give one much more insight into overall market direction and economic…

  • Sure Looks Like 2008

    Published 18 August 2011 | viewed 0 times

    "He observed that human emotions collectively had major impacts on the on stock prices and the patterns seen in the Stock Markets in general." ~…

  • Is The Price Index Inflating Real GDP

    Published 17 August 2011 | viewed 0 times

    There is no shortage of correlations such as the one shown below (PPI VS real GDP) that brings into question the real GDP reported over…