Guy Lerner

Technical Take

Contributor since: 26 Feb 2010

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• EURUSD: Next Stop 2006 Lows

  Published 14 May 2010 | viewed 0 times

  Well that was quick. I definitely would have thought that the 2009 lows in the EURUSD would have provided a little bit more buying support,…

• Shanghai Composite: There Is Hope!

  Published 14 May 2010 | viewed 0 times

  Hey folks, the Shanghai Composite, which has been leading the US market for about a year now, has hit its first level of support. I…

• USDJPY: Follow Up

  Published 13 May 2010 | viewed 0 times

  I have been tracking the USDJPY cross rate for sometime, and it is my belief that US Dollar will move higher relative to the Japanese…

• Developing A Trading Strategy: Part III

  Published 12 May 2010 | viewed 0 times

  This is the final installment of our series on developing a trading strategy. In part 1, I looked at a common trend following strategy of…

• Financial Advice - It Needs Context

  Published 11 May 2010 | viewed 0 times

  One of the things I learned early on about writing on the markets and trading is that you are never right. There is always someone…

• Investor Sentiment: The Great Unwind

  Published 08 May 2010 | viewed 0 times

  When you look at investor sentiment for the past week, you must understand that the majority of data was collected and disseminated prior to Thursday's…

• EURUSD

  Published 06 May 2010 | viewed 0 times

  Figure 1 is a weekly chart of the EURUSD cross rate. Figure 1. EURUSD/ weekly This is the same chart I showed several weeks ago…

• Brazilian Bovespa and EWZ

  Published 04 May 2010 | viewed 0 times

  On February 4th, I wrote that the Brazilian Bovespa was "dead money", and nothing since that time has changed my mind as Brazil, as measured…

• Investor Sentiment: Time To Pay Attention!

  Published 02 May 2010 | viewed 0 times

  After 8 months of indifference to the constant and persistent rise in stock prices, the "smart money" has finally turned bearish. It is time to…

• Great Insight Into The Consumer And Retail Sector

  Published 28 April 2010 | viewed 0 times

  I had the privilege yesterday of receiving an email from Richard Davis of the Consumer Metrics Institute, Inc. Mr. Davis had read my blog post…

• The One Chart That Explains The Entire Stock Market Rally

  Published 27 April 2010 | viewed 0 times

  Many a market participant has been wondering what is causing this relentless drive higher in the stock market. As I have pointed out in the…

• Investor Sentiment: Mockery

  Published 25 April 2010 | viewed 0 times

  The market continues higher, which you are well aware. The sentiment indicators continue to show extreme bullish sentiment amongst the "dumb money", an indifference by…

• Rydex Market Timers: How Extreme?

  Published 21 April 2010 | viewed 0 times

  This analysis will give you greater insight into one of the Rydex indicators that is published in the weekly report on investor sentiment. Specifically, we…

• The Pain Trade

  Published 21 April 2010 | viewed 0 times

  A trading buddy and I frequently talk about the markets, and as always, the conversation turns to the "hardest trade". The "hardest trade" is that…

• Investor Sentiment: The Same Story

  Published 19 April 2010 | viewed 0 times

  Yes, it is the same story as the "Dumb Money" indicator remains extremely bullish. And yes, it is the same story as the market has…

• Baby Steps And Intra-Day Thoughts

  Published 16 April 2010 | viewed 0 times

  What is this? The S&P500 is down 1.5% intra-day? Do my eyes deceive me? How could this be possible? Yes, it is true the S&P500…

• What I Am Watching (Part 2): EURUSD

  Published 15 April 2010 | viewed 0 times

  The EURUSD cross rate has been bouncing around its weekly key pivot point for several weeks now. See figure 1, a weekly chart of the…

• Is It Time To Short The SP500?

  Published 14 April 2010 | viewed 0 times

  A real headwind for the markets -now and in the past - has been when the trends of gold, crude oil, and yields on the…

• What I Am Watching (Part 1): TBT and TLT

  Published 13 April 2010 | viewed 0 times

  It's a new month, therefore, it must be time to switch my position on Treasury bonds. Before getting to the technicals on Treasury bonds, let…

• Investor Sentiment

  Published 11 April 2010 | viewed 0 times

  The equity markets continue their ascent on decreasing volume, and the only rationale for such persistent bullishness is the unwillingness of investors to embrace the…