Guy Lerner

Technical Take

Contributor since: 26 Feb 2010

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Biography

• Investor Sentiment: Insiders, What Are Your Expectations?

  Published 27 February 2010 | viewed 1,216 times

  Company insiders are selling in record numbers, once again. Yes, insiders have been selling for the better part of 8 months as share prices have…

• Deflated!

  Published 26 February 2010 | viewed 1,906 times

  Just when I get all poofy about some market "call", here comes Mr. Market to deflate my bubble. Two days ago, I wrote "Did You…

• Did You Sell GLD, GDX, SLV?

  Published 25 February 2010 | viewed 3,842 times

  Ok, this one is for all you bull market geniuses out there who have been buying the SPDR Gold Trust (symbol: GLD), the Market Vectors…

• Treasury Bonds: The Correct Play Is To Be Long

  Published 24 February 2010 | viewed 3,237 times

  Over the past many months, I have spent much time on this blog writing about US Treasury bonds. Treasury bonds have become a tale of…

• Rydex Market Timers: A One Day Bet

  Published 23 February 2010 | viewed 2,180 times

  Figure 1 is a daily chart of the S&P500. The indicator in the lower panel measures the ratio of the amount of assets in the…

• Investor Sentiment: Bounce Mode

  Published 20 February 2010 | viewed 2,901 times

  The investor sentiment data is consistent with a market that is in bounce mode. Following the late January sell off, investors really did not become…

• Throw This Squirrel A Nut

  Published 19 February 2010 | viewed 3,035 times

  Every now and then, even this squirrel will catch a nut. My "call" on the Dollar Index on January 19 has been prescient, and it…

• Rydex Market Timers: Take A Guess Before You Read!

  Published 17 February 2010 | viewed 2,844 times

  Figure 1 is a daily chart of the S&P500. The indicator in the lower panel measures the ratio of the amount of assets in the…

• Another Technical Update: TLT and IEF

  Published 17 February 2010 | viewed 2,182 times

  One month ago, I looked at US Treasury bonds, and I was a bit more constructive than I had been in the prior 12 months.…

• Rydex Market Timers: Bearish And More!

  Published 16 February 2010 | viewed 3,054 times

  Figure 1 is a daily chart of the S&P500. The indicator in the lower panel measures the ratio of the amount of assets in the…

• Investor Sentiment: Finally Turns Neutral

  Published 14 February 2010 | viewed 2,901 times

  Finally, the "Dumb Money" indicator has turned neutral after spending 28 consecutive weeks in the extreme bullish zone. For those keeping score at home, the…

• Why I Think We Need To Go Lower Before Going Higher

  Published 12 February 2010 | viewed 4,152 times

  In the short term, the equity markets are just holding on. Risk trade on. Risk trade off. One day up and one day down. I…

• Rydex Market Timers: Remain Bearish Heading Into Holiday...

  Published 12 February 2010 | viewed 1,985 times

  Figure 1 is a daily chart of the S&P500. The indicator in the lower panel measures the ratio of the amount of assets in the…

• Rydex Market Timers: Still Bearish

  Published 11 February 2010 | viewed 2,419 times

  Figure 1 is a daily chart of the S&P500. The indicator in the lower panel measures the ratio of the amount of assets in the…

• Ceridian-UCLA Pulse of Commerce Index

  Published 10 February 2010 | viewed 2,084 times

  The Ceridian-UCLA Pulse of Commerce Index tracks fuel purchases at 7000 truck stops around the country, and the idea is that the index will mirror…

• Rydex Market Timers: Are Now Bearish!

  Published 10 February 2010 | viewed 3,291 times

  Figure 1 is a daily chart of the S&P500. The indicator in the lower panel measures the ratio of the amount of assets in the…

• Rydex Market Timers: Becoming More Bearish

  Published 09 February 2010 | viewed 2,823 times

  Figure 1 is a daily chart of the S&P500. The indicator in the lower panel measures the ratio of the amount of assets in the…

• Trends In Gold, 10 Year Treasury Yields, And Crude Oil

  Published 08 February 2010 | viewed 2,622 times

  Over the past year, I have most often discussed the composite indicator constructed from the trends in gold, crude oil, and yields on the 10…

• Investor Sentiment: Are We There Yet?

  Published 07 February 2010 | viewed 3,499 times

  Like those long distance car trips I take with my children where 90 minutes into an 8 hour drive they say, "Are we there yet?",…

• Brazilian Bovespa: Dead Money

  Published 04 February 2010 | viewed 2,545 times

  Figure 1 is a monthly chart of the Brazilian Bovespa Index. Figure 1. Brazilian Bovespa/ monthly The indicator in the lower panel measures the number…