Guy Lerner

Technical Take

Contributor since: 26 Feb 2010

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Biography

• Portfolio Review

  Published 05 April 2010 | viewed 2,408 times

  This is a real time portfolio managing real money. The portfolio is managed by ARL Advisers, LLC, the publisher of TheTechnicalTake blog. The ARL Advisers…

• Investor Sentiment: A Different Look

  Published 03 April 2010 | viewed 1,514 times

  Very often when looking at sentiment indicators, many market practitioners view the data as an all or nothing phenomenon. Either we are all in or…

• EURUSD Cross: Keeping It Simple

  Published 01 April 2010 | viewed 1,245 times

  Figure 1 is a weekly chart of the EURUSD cross rate. Figure 1. EURUSD/ weekly Key pivot points are identified with the large black dots…

• A Different Take

  Published 31 March 2010 | viewed 1,378 times

  Over at the ZeroHedge website, they have a post attributed to Michael Panzer of the Financial Armageddon website entitled: "The Latest Red Flag - The…

• Trends In Gold, 10 Year Treasury Yields, And Crude Oil ...

  Published 26 March 2010 | viewed 1,094 times

  Our composite indicator that assesses the strength in the trends of gold, 10 year Treasury yields, and crude oil will remain in the extreme zone…

• Higher Yields, Lower Equities?

  Published 26 March 2010 | viewed 1,187 times

  For the longest while, my mind set has been to expect higher yields accompanied by higher equity prices. After all, wouldn't higher yields be a…

• FXI: Didn't Get The Message

  Published 25 March 2010 | viewed 1,306 times

  Aside from being on the wrong side of the market with my current S&P500 index short trade, there are several other things that have me…

• On Dealing With A Bad Trade

  Published 24 March 2010 | viewed 1,033 times

  During the week of March 8 to March 12, I started to leg into a position that shorts the S&P500. My vehicle to express this…

• Investor Sentiment: Going Forward

  Published 20 March 2010 | viewed 1,083 times

  In hindsight, the best strategy has been to "set it and forget it" - buy at the bottom in March, 2009 and let it ride.…

• Complacency? Never

  Published 18 March 2010 | viewed 1,337 times

  A quick look around the web reveals that type of impenetrable bullishness where it is clears skies and happy days as far as the eye…

• My Scrappy Little Portfolio

  Published 17 March 2010 | viewed 1,050 times

  I want to call this piece "My Scrappy Little Portfolio" but after reading it, you might decide it is "My Crappy Little Portfolio". In a…

• Investor Sentiment: Few Words Needed

  Published 13 March 2010 | viewed 3,440 times

  With 3 out of 4 of our measures registering extreme readings, few words are needed to describe investor sentiment this week. The "Dumb Money" indicator,…

• USDJPY: It Isn't Correlated

  Published 11 March 2010 | viewed 2,268 times

  While the excitement of the media has been focused on equities, other corners of the markets go unnoticed. One such asset is the USDJPY cross…

• It's All The Same Trade!

  Published 09 March 2010 | viewed 1,915 times

  One of the frustrating aspects about this market environment is that all assets look like the same trade. Betting on equities is a bet against…

• Like Minds...I Hope!

  Published 08 March 2010 | viewed 2,599 times

  There are several commentators on the web that I read consistently, and John Hussman of Hussman Funds is one of them. I always take great…

• Investor Sentiment: Don't Stray Too Far From The Data

  Published 07 March 2010 | viewed 3,033 times

  I always have the option of how I present the data. I can be negative or positive in my outlook and tone. But one thing…

• Danger, Danger Will Robinson

  Published 05 March 2010 | viewed 4,898 times

  I feel like the robot in the television show, "Lost In Space". Investor sentiment remains bullish and trends in gold, crude oil, and yields on…

• A Comprehensive Look At Investor Sentiment

  Published 04 March 2010 | viewed 1,277 times

  Figure 1 is a weekly chart of the S&P500. The indicator in the lower panel is a composite of the 4 sentiment measures posted to…

• The Bullish Case For Equities

  Published 03 March 2010 | viewed 3,773 times

  The bullish case for equities is best summarized by some of the price action that I am seeing especially in the retail, home building, financial…

• More On Company Insiders

  Published 01 March 2010 | viewed 1,390 times

  This week's sentiment report highlighted company insiders and the fact that they have stepped up their selling. Some may question the wisdom of following company…