Guy Lerner

Technical Take

Contributor since: 26 Feb 2010

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• Some Unfinished Business

  Published 21 December 2009 | viewed 3,880 times

  Before I head out for the week, I wanted to update and follow through on several things that I have been discussing on the blog…

• Investor Sentiment: On Vacation

  Published 20 December 2009 | viewed 2,250 times

  The holidays are approaching, and I am lucky enough to be travelling this year with my family. So there won't be any comments attached to…

• What Does That Mean?

  Published 19 December 2009 | viewed 3,455 times

  This video is courtesy of CNBC, and it reports on Bernanke's confirmation in the Senate Banking Committee. While the video is just reporting the news,…

• Rydex Market Timers: A One Day Event

  Published 17 December 2009 | viewed 4,289 times

  For Wednesday's FOMC announcement, the Rydex market timers were betting heavy that Bernanke and company would deliver. The Fed didn't disappoint as they continue to…

• Dollar Index: The Technical Take

  Published 16 December 2009 | viewed 4,076 times

  Figure 1 is a weekly chart of the Dollar Index (symbol: $DXY). In our last look at the greenback I stated: "in all likelihood, this…

• Headwinds Abate Slightly

  Published 14 December 2009 | viewed 2,370 times

  Last week the price of crude oil lost almost 10% pushing our composite indicator that is constructed from the trends in gold, crude oil and…

• ETF's To Buy, Sell, or Hold

  Published 11 December 2009 | viewed 3,314 times

  As price weighs heavy in my market analysis, I always look for methods that quantify the price action. For example, when XYZ stock goes up…

• The Technical Take: Dollar Index

  Published 08 December 2009 | viewed 4,519 times

  It's Monday, and there is no better place to start the week with the only asset that has mattered for the past 8 months -…

• Investor Sentiment: "America Is Back"

  Published 06 December 2009 | viewed 3,791 times

  The trading range that has developed over the past several weeks is emblematic of the cross currents confronting this market. New highs seem to be…

• Gold v. Currencies v. Gold Sentiment

  Published 02 December 2009 | viewed 3,069 times

  Figure 1 is a weekly chart of gold (cash data) through last week's close. The indicator in the middle panel measures gold's 52 week performance…

• The Only Chart That Matters

  Published 02 December 2009 | viewed 5,149 times

  How could I forget the only chart that matters? Figure 1 is a weekly chart of the Dollar Index. This is the same chart I…

• Inflation Pressures Moderating

  Published 01 December 2009 | viewed 2,361 times

  The composite indicator that measures the trends in gold, crude oil, and yields on the 10 year Treasury has moderated significantly. See figure 1 a…

• Investor Sentiment: Waiting For The "R" Word

  Published 29 November 2009 | viewed 4,267 times

  As expected, last week's holiday infested market action provided little clarity. The sentiment picture remains relatively unchanged. Nonetheless, there was a market moving event, and…

• Thanksgiving Week Trading

  Published 23 November 2009 | viewed 2,859 times

  In this week's comments on investor sentiment, I alluded to the positive seasonality seen in the stock markets during the week of Thanksgiving. Here is…

• Investor Sentiment: Happy Thanksgiving!

  Published 22 November 2009 | viewed 2,859 times

  In holiday shortened week, there won't be much to glean from market action in the coming week. Over the past couple of months, Monday's have…

• Bond Sentiment: Very Interesting

  Published 20 November 2009 | viewed 3,626 times

  I am definitely on board with the idea that longer dated Treasury yields are headed lower, and I am beginning to warm up to the…

• Rydex Market Timers: At It Again

  Published 19 November 2009 | viewed 3,030 times

  The Rydex market timers are buying the dip to an extreme degree. Figure 1 is a daily chart of the S&P500 with the amount of…

• The New World Of Investing

  Published 19 November 2009 | viewed 3,515 times

  In this new era where fundamentals seem to matter less and less, here is an ETF that seems to fit right in with that theme.…

• Just Sell Something, Please!!

  Published 17 November 2009 | viewed 5,323 times

  The act of selling cannot be underestimated. Selling is just as important as any other decision (i.e., buying or money management) involved in trading, but…

• Are Treasury Yields Headed Lower?

  Published 16 November 2009 | viewed 2,804 times

  I am beginning to see signs that there is a high likelihood of this occurring over the next couple of weeks. Figure 1 is a…