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Guy Lerner

Guy Lerner

Technical Take

Contributor since: 26 Feb 2010


Guy M. Lerner is the editor and founder of The Technical Take blog.

  • Investor Sentiment: The Perfect Trifecta

    Published 16 August 2009 | viewed 2,992 times

    The "Dumb Money" indicator continues to hit new extremes despite last week's slight down market. The Rydex market timers continue to be bullish and leveraged…

  • On The Line: Credibility

    Published 12 August 2009 | viewed 3,619 times

    The equity markets are at another one of those "critical" junctures. I use the quotations because the markets are always at another one of those…

  • Who Is Left To Buy?

    Published 11 August 2009 | viewed 4,674 times

    By now you should know that one of my favorite aspects of the Rydex data is the amount of assets in the bullish and leveraged…

  • Investor Sentiment: Extremely Extreme

    Published 09 August 2009 | viewed 4,575 times

    Investor sentiment is extremely bullish as the "Dumb Money" indicator has registered its second most extreme reading ever. The current value is only less than…

  • Gold v. Currencies

    Published 05 August 2009 | viewed 3,302 times

    Figure 1 is a concept that I have put forward before, and it is gold's performance relative to a basket of 8 currencies.Those currencies are:…

  • Investor Sentiment: Dumb Money Bullish Again!

    Published 02 August 2009 | viewed 4,215 times

    Over the last 4 weeks, the S&P500 has gained a little more than 12%, and during that time, investor sentiment, as measured by the "Dumb…

  • Is 2009 Like 2002?

    Published 27 July 2009 | viewed 4,063 times

    I have often thought that the 2009 rally resembles the rally off the September 11, 2001 lows that lasted into March, 2002. Even though the…

  • Investor Sentiment: Investors Not Buying It

    Published 26 July 2009 | viewed 3,526 times

    Investor sentiment remains little changed after a two week "melt up". The "Dumb Money" indicator is shown in figure 1. The "Dumb Money" indicator looks…

  • Semiconductor Sector: Folks Now Just Catching On

    Published 20 July 2009 | viewed 2,715 times

    On March 20, 2009, I wrote an articled entitled, "Semiconductor Sector: Potential For A Secular Run". In this article I stated: "The technical evidence suggests…

  • Investor Sentiment: Exhaustion Move?

    Published 20 July 2009 | viewed 3,604 times

    Last week I wrote: "In the short term, there is always hope for the bulls as prices on the S&P500 remain above the down sloping…

  • Fundamental Driver For Dollars Downfall?

    Published 17 July 2009 | viewed 3,701 times

    David A. Rosenberg, chief economist and strategist for Gluskin Sheff and Associates, writes a very nice (and free) almost daily commentary about the markets and…

  • Dollar Index: At Risk To Unravel

    Published 15 July 2009 | viewed 1,393 times

    The Dollar Index (symbol: $DXY) is trading significantly lower this morning, and it is at risk of closing the week below three pivot points as…

  • Investor Sentiment: Whats Next?

    Published 12 July 2009 | viewed 3,798 times

    After being bullish for 9 consecutive weeks and having seen the S&P500 fall some 5% over that time, the "dumb money" has finally given up…

  • Sectors At Risk

    Published 07 July 2009 | viewed 2,884 times

    In "6 Leaders For The Next Rally Phase", I highlighted those sectors that had the potential to lead the next bull market phase if and…

  • Investor Sentiment: There Is Always Hope

    Published 05 July 2009 | viewed 2,878 times

    In a low volume, holiday shortened week that ended with a bang of selling pressure, the "dumb money" has yet to give up hope. The…

  • Inflationary Pressures Are A Legitimate Concern

    Published 30 June 2009 | viewed 3,150 times

    William Hester, CFA is a Senior Financial Analyst with the Hussman Funds, and he has written an interesting article that attempts to answer the question:…

  • Investor Sentiment: Summer Doldrums

    Published 28 June 2009 | viewed 3,235 times

    It is the end of the month. It is the end of the quarter. It is the week before a holiday. This gives the market…

  • Seasonal Factors Likely To Influence Share Prices

    Published 23 June 2009 | viewed 3,314 times

    As we wind our way into the summer duldrums, much has been written of seasonal factors. "Sell in May and go away" is an often…

  • Investor Sentiment: Losing Conviction

    Published 21 June 2009 | viewed 3,107 times

    The "dumb money" is beginning to lose conviction. The "Dumb Money" indicator has been in the extremely bullish zone suggesting too many bulls for 7…

  • Very Dangerous Time For Dollar Index

    Published 19 June 2009 | viewed 4,299 times

    I don't want to get into the prediction game or even be the first one to say, "I told you so", but I believe the…