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Guy Lerner

Guy Lerner

Technical Take

Contributor since: 26 Feb 2010


Guy M. Lerner is the editor and founder of The Technical Take blog.

  • Investor Sentiment: So Far Not Different This Time

    Published 04 May 2009 | viewed 3,997 times

    There really hasn't been any change in investor sentiment, but this is not unusual at market tops, which tend to be more drawn out affairs…

  • Gold: On The Launching Pad

    Published 02 May 2009 | viewed 4,761 times

    I love to chronicle my follies with gold. Gold seems so easy. The Federal Reserve runs the printing presses, and everyone in the world knows…

  • Investor Sentiment: The Same Story

    Published 27 April 2009 | viewed 3,850 times

    It is the same story this week as last as this is now the sixth week in a row where investor sentiment, as measured by…

  • Airlines Act Like Market Leader

    Published 22 April 2009 | viewed 3,115 times

    The AMEX Airline Index (symbol: $XAL.X) was up 10% yesterday on earnings reports from Delta Airlines (symbol: DAL) and UAL Corporation (symbol: UAUA). Delta Airlines…

  • When Signals Fail

    Published 20 April 2009 | viewed 3,847 times

    In the most recent post on sentiment, I ended the commentary with the following statement: "If wrong, there is always important information in failed signals."…

  • Investor Sentiment: Time To Sell Strength And Tighten Up...

    Published 20 April 2009 | viewed 4,065 times

    This is now the fifth week in a row where investor sentiment, as measured by the "Dumb Money" indicator, remains neutral. When we couple this…

  • Sectors That Could Be The Next Bull Market Leaders

    Published 16 April 2009 | viewed 5,020 times

    If I told you that the four sectors with the most potential to undergo a secular trend change are semiconductors, housing, retail, and airlines you…

  • Copper: What's Up?

    Published 14 April 2009 | viewed 3,965 times

    Over the last 4 months, copper has bounced about 70% from its lows. Yet it is only recently that such a significant price move is…

  • Key Price Levels: April 13, 2009

    Published 13 April 2009 | viewed 3,913 times

    After five weeks of "straight up" price action, the major indices and their ETF proxies are approaching key resistance levels. Please review the methodology and…

  • Investor Sentiment: Looking For A Top

    Published 12 April 2009 | viewed 4,375 times

    This is now the fourth week in a row where investor sentiment, as measured by the "Dumb Money" indicator, remains neutral. When we couple this…

  • Investor Sentiment: Neutral

    Published 29 March 2009 | viewed 3,575 times

    This is the second week in a row that investor sentiment is neutral. While there is nothing unusual about this, there are two scenarios that…

  • Investor Sentiment: Not A Factor

    Published 23 March 2009 | viewed 3,432 times

    This week investor sentiment is neutral. The bearish sentiment (i.e., bull signal) of the past three weeks has dissipated. Going forward, equities will need to…

  • AIG Bailout: The Real Message

    Published 17 March 2009 | viewed 4,697 times

    In his letter to Treasury to justify bonuses paid to AIG employees, government appointed chairman Edward M. Liddy states: "We cannot attract and retain the…

  • Investor Sentiment: Still Bullish

    Published 15 March 2009 | viewed 4,448 times

    Despite last week's big jump in the equity markets, the "dumb money" remains bearish on equities. These investors appear to be reluctant and still on…

  • Investor Sentiment: Bullish Signals

    Published 08 March 2009 | viewed 4,509 times

    For 13 weeks the "dumb money" has been on the wrong side of the trend and hopeful that the November, 2008 lows would hold. The…

  • Jim Cramer Is At It Again ...

    Published 06 March 2009 | viewed 6,158 times

    ... speaking before thinking and pontificating on a subject he knows very little about. Before we get to another Jim Cramer "moment" let me state…

  • Its A New Era Of Thrift

    Published 05 March 2009 | viewed 4,172 times

    The troubles in the financial markets over the last year will lead to a new era of thrift, and this will be radically different than…

  • Investor Sentiment: Close But No Cigar

    Published 01 March 2009 | viewed 3,472 times

    The "dumb money" still appears to be holding out hope that the "test" of the November, 2008 lows will pay dividends. Despite the weak price…

  • Dow Transports: Slippery Slope Or Ray Of Hope?

    Published 25 February 2009 | viewed 4,470 times

    Figure 1 is a weekly chart of the Dow Jones Transportation Index, and the heavy red dots indicate key pivot points, which represent the most…

  • Investor Sentiment: Same Story, Different Week

    Published 23 February 2009 | viewed 3,945 times

    For the 12th week in a row the "dumb money" indicator remains neutral on the markets, and the "smart money" indicator has had one moderately…