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Guy Lerner

Guy Lerner

Technical Take

Contributor since: 26 Feb 2010


Guy M. Lerner is the editor and founder of The Technical Take blog.

  • Investor Sentiment: Smart Money Turning Bearish

    Published 15 November 2009 | viewed 6,232 times

    After 15 weeks of being neutral, the "smart money" indicator has turned towards a more bearish reading. The "dumb money" indicator remains in the extreme…

  • 3 Breadth Charts You Won't See Anywhere Else

    Published 12 November 2009 | viewed 5,295 times

    Figure 1 is a daily chart of the S&P500 (symbol: $INX). The indicator in the bottom panel comes from mathematician James Meikka. Meikka developed a…

  • On Market Timing

    Published 09 November 2009 | viewed 3,766 times

    Everyone tries to time the market to some degree. Just the acts of buying and selling are exercises in market timing. We want the best…

  • Investment Sentiment: Changes Within The Indicators

    Published 08 November 2009 | viewed 3,316 times

    Every week that I put together these comments, I pay great attention to the words that I write. Last week's key points were: 1) the…

  • Rydex Market Timers: Extremely Mixed

    Published 06 November 2009 | viewed 2,495 times

    Figure 1 is a daily chart of the S&P500 with the amount of assets in the Rydex Money Market Fund in the lower panel. Figure…

  • Whats Wrong With Consumer Confidence?

    Published 03 November 2009 | viewed 3,825 times

    This is an interesting video taken from CNBC's "Squawk On The Street". The show's host, Mark Haines, is incredulous that last Tuesday's consumer confidence number…

  • Dollar Technicals

    Published 01 November 2009 | viewed 4,029 times

    Figure 1 is a weekly chart of the US Dollar Index (symbol: $DXY). The pink labeled price bars within the ovals are positive divergence bars.…

  • Investor Sentiment: Option #3

    Published 31 October 2009 | viewed 3,540 times

    Since October 10, I have been singing a new tune and warning that "there is probably greater risk of a market down draft now than…

  • Modified Faber Model: Some Insight

    Published 30 October 2009 | viewed 3,723 times

    As the prior post shows, we can improve a simple moving average strategy by going to cash when the trends in gold, crude oil, and…

  • Modified Faber Model: Sell Signal

    Published 29 October 2009 | viewed 4,355 times

    Back on June 29, 2009, I presented research that improved the efficiency of the Faber market timing model for the S&P500 by some 50%. By…

  • Rydex Market Timers: Reminds Me Of My Own Trading

    Published 28 October 2009 | viewed 2,646 times

    In a show of doing the same thing over and over again or as I like to call it - hitting your head on the…

  • Rydex Market Timers: Buying The Dip

    Published 27 October 2009 | viewed 3,669 times

    The Rydex market timer, as a representative sample of investors, was buying yesterday's sell off. Figure 1 is a daily chart of the S&P500 with…

  • Treasury Yields: Observations

    Published 27 October 2009 | viewed 3,128 times

    The only asset moving up over the last week has been longer term Treasury yields. This is odd especially in the face of equity market…

  • Rydex Market Timers: All In (Again!)

    Published 25 October 2009 | viewed 4,040 times

    The Rydex market timers are all in again. The last time I used those words was on September 25, which marked a short term high…

  • Investor Sentiment: Consistency And Credibility

    Published 24 October 2009 | viewed 3,044 times

    This week's comments are about why I continue to present the same data on investor sentiment week after week. Some readers have suggested that this…

  • Shhh! TIPs Breakout!!

    Published 20 October 2009 | viewed 6,257 times

    I last mentioned Treasury Inflation Protected Securities or TIPs in an article written on September 10 entitled, "If You Don't Like 'em, Then Don't Trade…

  • Investor Sentiment: I Am Still Singing That Song

    Published 18 October 2009 | viewed 3,330 times

    Last week I was changing my tune. This week's tune is the same old song: "Equities are for renting not owning at this juncture. I…

  • Investor Sentiment: I Am Changing My Tune

    Published 11 October 2009 | viewed 5,117 times

    Since the first weeks of August, 2009, I have stated the following in every weekly summary on equity market sentiment: "Investor sentiment remains extremely bullish.…

  • Gold v. Currencies

    Published 05 October 2009 | viewed 3,460 times

    Figure 1 is a concept that I have put forward before, and it is gold's performance relative to a basket of 8 currencies.Those currencies are:…

  • Gold: Off The Launching Pad

    Published 05 October 2009 | viewed 3,924 times

    Back on April 30, 2009, when gold was trading at $895 per ounce, I wrote an article suggesting that gold was on the appropriate launching…