Guy Lerner

Technical Take

Contributor since: 26 Feb 2010

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• Investor Sentiment: The Trend Is Your Friend

  Published 04 October 2009 | viewed 3,176 times

  Investor sentiment changed little as the 3rd quarter came to an end. The "smart money" continues to sit tight and has yet to tip its…

• The Same Drill

  Published 30 September 2009 | viewed 3,243 times

  As of Tuesday's close, the amount of assets in the Rydex bullish and leveraged funds exceeded the amount of assets in the bearish and leveraged…

• This Sounds Familiar

  Published 30 September 2009 | viewed 3,428 times

  There is a strong trend. Negative divergences in an up trend or positive divergences in a down trend (between price and momentum oscillators that measure…

• Investor Sentiment: A Pullback Would Be Healthy

  Published 27 September 2009 | viewed 3,460 times

  A pull back should be viewed as healthy within a strongly trending market. However, the "moon shot"rally that started in July, 2009 has been characterized…

• Key Price Levels: Mission Accomplished

  Published 25 September 2009 | viewed 3,939 times

  Now that the stock market has moved over 50% higher in the past 6 months, there are two words that would best describe where we…

• Inflation Pressures Rising Again

  Published 21 September 2009 | viewed 3,473 times

  Several months ago I began to lay out an asset allocation road map. In a nutshell, the US Dollar remains the key asset to follow,…

• Investor Sentiment: It's Odd, But True

  Published 20 September 2009 | viewed 4,242 times

  Market participants remain all giddy about the bullish developments of the past months. Yet, one year ago, a level of 1200 on the S&P500 had…

• The Dollar Index: The Trend Is Your Friend

  Published 18 September 2009 | viewed 3,354 times

  In identifying the Dollar Index (symbol: $DXY) as the key asset class to watch, I relied upon two strategies for guidance to make the call…

• Cramer: Calling For A Top In Bonds

  Published 18 September 2009 | viewed 3,217 times

  Jim Cramer is at it again. This time he is calling for a top in US Treasury Bonds. Mama mia, I am heading for the…

• Bond Sentiment: Circumstances Are Different

  Published 16 September 2009 | viewed 3,298 times

  If you have been paying attention the last couple of weeks, I have been warming up to bonds. However, earlier in the year, I thought…

• David Rosenberg: This Is Your Last Chance

  Published 14 September 2009 | viewed 6,262 times

  Over the last several months, we have been very fortunate to read the missives of Gluskin Sheff's chief economist and strategist, David Rosenberg. Aside from…

• Investor Sentiment: Bullish Fodder

  Published 13 September 2009 | viewed 2,671 times

  The "It Takes Bulls To Make A Bull Market" scenario is playing out, and the best thing to do is not fight the tape. However,…

• Assets In Rydex Gold Fund

  Published 11 September 2009 | viewed 3,123 times

  Figure 1 is a weekly chart of gold. In the lower panel is the amount of assets in the Rydex Precious Metal Fund. Figure 1.…

• Reader Question: Predictability

  Published 11 September 2009 | viewed 2,591 times

  Several weeks ago a reader wrote me to suggest that there is no predictability to the "Dumb Money" indicator. I think I understood what the…

• Rydex Assets: Leveraged Bulls v. Leveraged Bears

  Published 10 September 2009 | viewed 2,448 times

  Looking at figure 1, which is a daily chart of the S&P500, we note that the amount of assets in the Rydex leveraged and bearish…

• If You Don't Like 'em, Then Don't Trade 'em

  Published 10 September 2009 | viewed 2,973 times

  Last night I read somewhere that the problem with the equity markets was that no one really liked them (except for Cramer), yet that was…

• Long Term Treasury Yields: Someone Is Going To Be Wrong

  Published 27 August 2009 | viewed 4,488 times

  For over 8 months now, I have been chronicling the plight of the 10 year Treasury bond. Based upon the "next big thing" indicator it…

• Asset Allocation Road Map: US Equities

  Published 25 August 2009 | viewed 3,233 times

  Before getting to my outlook for US equities, I feel that I first must explain why my methodology did not anticipate this monstrous move off…

• Investor Sentiment: I Have Said It All!

  Published 22 August 2009 | viewed 4,634 times

  Ok, I have said enough. I have said it all. There is nothing else to say. To spare you the trouble of having to waste…

• This Time Is Different (In Reverse)

  Published 22 August 2009 | viewed 4,997 times

  In past articles to explain the price action, I have defined the "this time is different" scenario. For example, at market tops we typically see…