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Guy Lerner

Guy Lerner

Technical Take

Contributor since: 26 Feb 2010


Guy M. Lerner is the editor and founder of The Technical Take blog.

  • Investor Sentiment: The Trend Is Your Friend

    Published 04 October 2009 | viewed 3,085 times

    Investor sentiment changed little as the 3rd quarter came to an end. The "smart money" continues to sit tight and has yet to tip its…

  • The Same Drill

    Published 30 September 2009 | viewed 3,154 times

    As of Tuesday's close, the amount of assets in the Rydex bullish and leveraged funds exceeded the amount of assets in the bearish and leveraged…

  • This Sounds Familiar

    Published 30 September 2009 | viewed 3,359 times

    There is a strong trend. Negative divergences in an up trend or positive divergences in a down trend (between price and momentum oscillators that measure…

  • Investor Sentiment: A Pullback Would Be Healthy

    Published 27 September 2009 | viewed 3,357 times

    A pull back should be viewed as healthy within a strongly trending market. However, the "moon shot"rally that started in July, 2009 has been characterized…

  • Key Price Levels: Mission Accomplished

    Published 25 September 2009 | viewed 3,866 times

    Now that the stock market has moved over 50% higher in the past 6 months, there are two words that would best describe where we…

  • Inflation Pressures Rising Again

    Published 21 September 2009 | viewed 3,411 times

    Several months ago I began to lay out an asset allocation road map. In a nutshell, the US Dollar remains the key asset to follow,…

  • Investor Sentiment: It's Odd, But True

    Published 20 September 2009 | viewed 4,171 times

    Market participants remain all giddy about the bullish developments of the past months. Yet, one year ago, a level of 1200 on the S&P500 had…

  • The Dollar Index: The Trend Is Your Friend

    Published 18 September 2009 | viewed 3,305 times

    In identifying the Dollar Index (symbol: $DXY) as the key asset class to watch, I relied upon two strategies for guidance to make the call…

  • Cramer: Calling For A Top In Bonds

    Published 18 September 2009 | viewed 3,159 times

    Jim Cramer is at it again. This time he is calling for a top in US Treasury Bonds. Mama mia, I am heading for the…

  • Bond Sentiment: Circumstances Are Different

    Published 16 September 2009 | viewed 3,238 times

    If you have been paying attention the last couple of weeks, I have been warming up to bonds. However, earlier in the year, I thought…

  • David Rosenberg: This Is Your Last Chance

    Published 14 September 2009 | viewed 6,193 times

    Over the last several months, we have been very fortunate to read the missives of Gluskin Sheff's chief economist and strategist, David Rosenberg. Aside from…

  • Investor Sentiment: Bullish Fodder

    Published 13 September 2009 | viewed 2,609 times

    The "It Takes Bulls To Make A Bull Market" scenario is playing out, and the best thing to do is not fight the tape. However,…

  • Assets In Rydex Gold Fund

    Published 11 September 2009 | viewed 3,066 times

    Figure 1 is a weekly chart of gold. In the lower panel is the amount of assets in the Rydex Precious Metal Fund. Figure 1.…

  • Reader Question: Predictability

    Published 11 September 2009 | viewed 2,533 times

    Several weeks ago a reader wrote me to suggest that there is no predictability to the "Dumb Money" indicator. I think I understood what the…

  • Rydex Assets: Leveraged Bulls v. Leveraged Bears

    Published 10 September 2009 | viewed 2,401 times

    Looking at figure 1, which is a daily chart of the S&P500, we note that the amount of assets in the Rydex leveraged and bearish…

  • If You Don't Like 'em, Then Don't Trade 'em

    Published 10 September 2009 | viewed 2,916 times

    Last night I read somewhere that the problem with the equity markets was that no one really liked them (except for Cramer), yet that was…

  • Long Term Treasury Yields: Someone Is Going To Be Wrong

    Published 27 August 2009 | viewed 4,412 times

    For over 8 months now, I have been chronicling the plight of the 10 year Treasury bond. Based upon the "next big thing" indicator it…

  • Asset Allocation Road Map: US Equities

    Published 25 August 2009 | viewed 3,161 times

    Before getting to my outlook for US equities, I feel that I first must explain why my methodology did not anticipate this monstrous move off…

  • Investor Sentiment: I Have Said It All!

    Published 22 August 2009 | viewed 4,558 times

    Ok, I have said enough. I have said it all. There is nothing else to say. To spare you the trouble of having to waste…

  • This Time Is Different (In Reverse)

    Published 22 August 2009 | viewed 4,920 times

    In past articles to explain the price action, I have defined the "this time is different" scenario. For example, at market tops we typically see…