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Guy Lerner

Guy Lerner

Technical Take

Contributor since: 26 Feb 2010

Biography

Guy M. Lerner is the editor and founder of The Technical Take blog.

  • Investor Sentiment: Uh - Oh!

    Published 07 August 2011 | viewed 0 times

    The market has taken a nasty hit this past week, and as expected, investors have turned bearish. Lower prices tend to do that. Unfortunately, investors…

  • Key Levels: SPY, QQQ, XLF

    Published 03 August 2011 | viewed 0 times

    The price action the past several weeks has been poor, and key price levels are now being challenged and violated. Key price levels are the…

  • Investor Sentiment

    Published 01 August 2011 | viewed 0 times

    The measures of investor sentiment have changed little week over week, and with the debt ceiling circus dominating the news, investors seem reluctant to make…

  • Investor Sentiment: Remember This

    Published 23 July 2011 | viewed 0 times

    Investor sentiment remains without change week over week. One would think that the markets are being held captive to the news flow coming out of…

  • And the Answer Is...

    Published 22 July 2011 | viewed 0 times

    And the answer is....the Dollar Index is going lower! Figure 1 is a weekly figure of the US Dollar Index. This is the same graph…

  • This Passes for Market Analysis?

    Published 21 July 2011 | viewed 0 times

    I usually don't care about such things as there is so much bad market analysis out there, but when the "insight" is so egregious, I…

  • Asset Allocation Strategy: Buy and Hold Bonds

    Published 20 July 2011 | viewed 0 times

    This is the second installment of our series on asset allocation. The first article was on buy and hold SP500, where we learned that risks…

  • Who is Going to Save the Day?

    Published 19 July 2011 | viewed 0 times

    Most market watchers would agree that a sustainable market advance should have quality leadership. The banking sector generally is a pretty good candidate to provide…

  • Another Warning Sign

    Published 18 July 2011 | viewed 0 times

    Our previous warning of a likely top in the i-Shares MSCI Emerging Market Index Fund (symbol: EEM) remains intact. Now we can add i-Shares FTSE…

  • Investor Sentiment: Dullsville

    Published 16 July 2011 | viewed 0 times

    This week the sentiment indicators are stuck in neutral ground, which makes sense considering investors can't always be extremely bearish or bullish. 4 weeks ago…

  • Asset Allocation Strategy: Buy and Hold SP500

    Published 15 July 2011 | viewed 0 times

    This will be the first in a series of articles on asset allocation. It is no secret that tactical asset allocation is my preferred framework…

  • Equities: A Floor Has Been Set

    Published 14 July 2011 | viewed 0 times

    The oversold bounce that occurred 3 weeks ago when investor sentiment was extremely bearish did one very important thing: it put a floor under this…

  • Dollar Index: Constructive, but...

    Published 12 July 2011 | viewed 0 times

    Figure 1 is a weekly chart of the Dollar Index (symbol: $DXY), and it is the same chart I have been showing for weeks. Not…

  • Investor Sentiment: What do you Expect?

    Published 11 July 2011 | viewed 0 times

    Hey, what do you expect? Those knuckleheads* who were selling and calling for the end of the world 4 weeks ago are now chasing prices…

  • Equities: What's Next?

    Published 06 July 2011 | viewed 0 times

    I define the price cycle as the path that prices take from low to high and back again, and I use investor sentiment to help…

  • Gold: Still Bullish, but Slightly Frustrated

    Published 05 July 2011 | viewed 0 times

    These are the kinds of things that frustrate me but are just a part of trading and investing. I last looked at gold on June…

  • Hold the Phone!

    Published 05 July 2011 | viewed 0 times

    On June 23, 2011, I stated that my crude oil model would likely give a sell signal at the end of the month. Then again,…

  • Investor Sentiment: Pullbacks Will Be Bought

    Published 03 July 2011 | viewed 0 times

    The easy part was the bounce. The hard part was knowing that the SP500 was going to gain nearly 5.5% in one week. Did you…

  • Has Anything Changed?

    Published 01 July 2011 | viewed 0 times

    The easy part was recognizing that we had an oversold market with extremes in bearish sentiment, which in general is a reliable buy signal. Throw…

  • Bond Model Still Positive, Technicals Weak

    Published 30 June 2011 | viewed 0 times

    As QE2 comes to a close, so does the Federal Reserve's direct involvement in the Treasury market. Without the buyer of last resort, investors, not…