Guy Lerner

Technical Take

Contributor since: 26 Feb 2010

Contact Contributor

Biography

• Investor Sentiment: Ugly but There is Always Hope

  Published 25 September 2011 | viewed 0 times

  After last week's selling pressure, investor sentiment remains ugly and bearish. This is expected. Nonetheless, prices on the SP500 still remain above our "line in…

• Another Warning Sign

  Published 20 September 2011 | viewed 0 times

  I wrote these words back on June 24, 2011: "This is the first real technical warning sign that the market is on the verge of…

• This is Bullish

  Published 19 September 2011 | viewed 0 times

  It's an ugly morning. The markets are a sea of red. The current overbought condition within the context of a bear market is doing what…

• Investor Sentiment: Sparking a Feeding Frenzy

  Published 18 September 2011 | viewed 0 times

  The big news for the week isn't the economy or Europe but how much Ben and the boys are willing to go "all in". There…

• GLD: Buy That Dip

  Published 16 September 2011 | viewed 0 times

  The fundamental outlook for gold remains strong despite the recent pullback. Treasury yields continue to fall suggesting weakness in the economy, and short term T-bills…

• Watch That Pivot: Copper

  Published 02 September 2011 | viewed 0 times

  Put this in the category of it ain't over until it is over. See figure 1 a weekly chart of a continuous futures contract of…

• Monthly Model Mania

  Published 01 September 2011 | viewed 0 times

  It is the beginning of a new month, so let's review our models on equities, bonds, gold, and crude oil -- where are they and…

• Searching for Clues as the Fate of the World Hangs in the Balance

  Published 31 August 2011 | viewed 0 times

  In this article, I look for clues in the charts as the fate of the markets and the free world hangs in the balance on…

• Selective Indicator Bias

  Published 31 August 2011 | viewed 0 times

  It is like selective hearing loss. Your wife thinks that you don't hear anything that she says. In reality, you do hear it all, but…

• Market Musings: 'The Hopemeister'

  Published 30 August 2011 | viewed 0 times

  Boy do market participants put a lot of hope in Fed Chairman, Ben Bernanke. Bernanke is the master psychologist. He gets awesome mileage out of…

• Key Trading Levels: SPY and QQQ

  Published 29 August 2011 | viewed 0 times

  Excess in one direction has given way to excess in the opposite direction as the down draft from 2 weeks ago has been completely wiped…

• Investor Sentiment: Surprisingly Still Extreme!

  Published 27 August 2011 | viewed 0 times

  Despite this week's bounce, investor sentiment remains very extreme, and this is a bullish signal. As I have detailed recently and over the past couple…

• The Market Giveth and the Market Taketh

  Published 24 August 2011 | viewed 0 times

  Today's shellacking in gold and Treasury bonds should remind investors that no trend goes on forever. Of course, determining when a price thrust will end…

• What Will Bernanke Do?

  Published 23 August 2011 | viewed 0 times

  For most market observers, all eyes and ears will be on Federal Reserve Chairman, Ben Bernanke, as he delivers a speech in Jackson Hole this…

• Investor Sentiment: The Rubber Band is Stretched

  Published 21 August 2011 | viewed 0 times

  high clip and it slightly exceeds those levels seen at the March, 2009 lows. The Rydex market timers (our last hold out) have finally turned…

• Wash, Rinse and Repeat

  Published 19 August 2011 | viewed 0 times

  Most pundits have only recently caught on that we are in a bear market and in all likelihood, the US and global economies are in…

• Duhhhh!

  Published 18 August 2011 | viewed 0 times

  I have been wondering when we would start to see stories like this. The headline: "Morgan Stanley cuts global growth forecasts". If only they were…

• Investor Sentiment: Same Drill, Different Week

  Published 14 August 2011 | viewed 0 times

  It is no surprise that investor sentiment has turned bearish following this week's price action. Mysteriously, lower prices somehow makes investors turn into bears. The…

• Dr. Copper and Global Economy Look Vulnerable

  Published 14 August 2011 | viewed 0 times

  Dr. Copper, that metal with a Ph. D. in economics, isn't looking so hot. In fact, it is at a reasonable risk of breaking down…

• Potential? It is a Bear Market!

  Published 09 August 2011 | viewed 0 times

  Only two days ago, I wrote that there is a "potential for a bear market". Potential? Forgetaboutit. This is a bear market. My analysis really…