Guy Lerner

Technical Take

Contributor since: 26 Feb 2010

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• The Technical Take: PGM

  Published 13 January 2011 | viewed 0 times

  Figure 1 is a weekly chart of the i-Path DJ AIG Platinum ETN (symbol: PGM). Figure 1. PGM/ weekly PGM is a sparsely traded (i.e.,…

• Making a Case for This Time is Different

  Published 10 January 2011 | viewed 0 times

  I am often asked "when will we know that this time is different?" My answer is that we won't likely know until after the fact,…

• Investor Sentiment: Extremus Maximus

  Published 09 January 2011 | viewed 0 times

  When it comes to investor enthusiasm for this market, there is only one thing I can say: even the extremes have become extreme. This is…

• More Extremes In The Rydex Asset Data

  Published 07 January 2011 | viewed 0 times

  I have highlighted the extremes in market sentiment over the past couple of weeks, yet the market keeps on ticking higher -although the price action…

• Market Musings: Oh, The Horror!!!

  Published 05 January 2011 | viewed 0 times

  I love these headlines from MarketWatch when the market is expected to be down at the open. Figure 1. MarketWatch Let's face it, market participants…

• We're Off!!!

  Published 03 January 2011 | viewed 0 times

  As we start the new year, it is well worth repeating what I wrote on October 15, 2010: "In essence, higher yields are in the…

• Investor Sentiment: How To Interpret?

  Published 02 January 2011 | viewed 0 times

  As most market followers are aware, investors are overly enthusiastic regarding the prospects for equities in the coming year. Extremes in investor sentiment are being…

• 11 Rules for Better Trading

  Published 29 December 2010 | viewed 0 times

  I have published my "11 Rules for Better Trading" previously, but I thought they were so good that it was worth drawing attention to them…

• Investor Sentiment: Extremes Persist

  Published 26 December 2010 | viewed 0 times

  It doesn't take a rocket scientist (or Wall Street analyst ~ a downgrade?) to figure out that investors are extremely bullish on the equity markets.…

• Investor Sentiment: Tough Being Bearish

  Published 19 December 2010 | viewed 0 times

  It is tough to be bearish for the following reasons: 1) the overwhelming consensus opinion of investors, bloggers, and newsletter writers is bullish now and…

• The Technical Take: TBT

  Published 16 December 2010 | viewed 0 times

  I have been highlighting higher Treasury yields since October 15 (well before the heard), and I also mentioned on December 8 that the move higher…

• Inflationary Pressures Are Persistent

  Published 15 December 2010 | viewed 0 times

  On November 8, 2010, our composite indicator that looks at the trends in gold, crude oil and yields on the 10 year Treasury registered an…

• Investor Sentiment: A Day Late

  Published 14 December 2010 | viewed 0 times

  I am a day late getting the investor sentiment charts out this week. Regardless and as expected, the "dumb money" shows lots of bulls while…

• Market Musings

  Published 10 December 2010 | viewed 0 times

  A lot of tidbits today... Rush To Judgment In a what has become reminiscent of how Congress and the media deal with recent crises, the…

• The Technical Take: TLT

  Published 08 December 2010 | viewed 0 times

  The move higher in long term Treasury yields, that I first started to write about on October 15, 2010, is beginning to pick up steam.…

• Rising Yields Are Both Good and Bad for Equities

  Published 07 December 2010 | viewed 0 times

  Rising long term Treasury yields can be viewed as a sign that the economic recovery is taking hold. That is one interpretation. Another is that…

• Investor Sentiment: This Is Not The Consensus Opinion

  Published 06 December 2010 | viewed 0 times

  Several weeks ago I watched a video where Maria Bartiromo of CNBC interviewed Gary Shilling of A. Gary Shilling and Company. Bartiromo was soliciting Shilling…

• Still About the Dollar

  Published 02 December 2010 | viewed 0 times

  While the S&P500 goes on to test the recent highs, let's make no mistake about it that the last 2 days of positive price action…

• Market Musings

  Published 01 December 2010 | viewed 0 times

  There is no question that we all would like to see a strong stock market. In theory, a higher market should be reflective of a…

• Once Again the Smart Money Isn't So Smart

  Published 29 November 2010 | viewed 0 times

  This past week the S&P100 options (i.e., the OEX put call ratio) hit an extreme in that the number of puts exceeded the number of…